VinicioArcos-Naranjo
Economist and MSc in Development Economics. I study Ecuador's labour market and education system with microdata, and I build digital tools for better teaching and research. Research professor at Universidad Técnica de Cotopaxi, facing the volcano.
Econometrics in the service of public decisions
More than a decade across university teaching, applied research and advisory work for the public sector. What interests me is a model that answers a concrete policy question, not one that looks good in a table.
- Education
- MSc in Economics, Development Economics track, FLACSO Ecuador, on a graduate scholarship. Economist, Universidad Católica de Cuenca. Doctoral fellow at FLACSO.
- Public sector
- Advisor at the IESS, Ecuador's social security institute: financial and actuarial studies for the Labour Justice Act and for the coverage of unpaid household work. Director of Participation at the Superintendency of Information.
- Training
- Trainer on labour and social affairs for the Friedrich Ebert Stiftung (FES-ILDIS), at its Permanent Training School for Social Actors.
- Methods
- Impact evaluation of social policy, econometrics, inferential and predictive statistics, economic modelling, investment project appraisal and environmental economic valuation.
- Tools
- Python, R, Stata, SPSS, QGIS, GeoDa, KoboToolbox, Power BI and Tableau.
- Languages
- Spanish and advanced English.
What the microdata show
I work with household surveys and censuses from INEC, Ecuador's statistics institute, to understand who lands a job that matches their training, how wages are distributed, and how identities pass from one generation to the next.
Research projects, Universidad Técnica de Cotopaxi
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Econometric analysis of the labour market with ENEMDU microdata
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Figures and narratives: reflections from Ecuador's census
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Socioeconomic analysis of the productive sectors of Latacunga canton
In progress
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Overeducation in Ecuador
ENEMDU 2025, the ORU method and Mincer equations with selection correction. Under editorial review.
Research lines: development economics, labour economics, environmental economics, economics of education and public policy.
Publications
Articles written, for the most part, with students and colleagues at Universidad Técnica de Cotopaxi.
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Crossing into Mestizaje? Interethnic Households and Intergenerational Ethnic Identification in EcuadorScopus Q1
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Exposición de las ocupaciones ecuatorianas a la inteligencia artificial generativa: una réplica adaptada del indicador Anthropic con ENEMDU 2025
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Determinantes socioeconómicos de la autoidentificación étnica en Ecuador: un análisis desde el modelo probit
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Análisis de la brecha salarial de género en Ecuador: una descomposición cuantílica con datos de la ENEMDU 2024
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Diversificación económica y crecimiento sostenible en el Ecuador: una evaluación con el índice Herfindahl-Hirschman y eficiencia productiva sectorial
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Determinantes socioeconómicos y educativos del analfabetismo digital en el Ecuador
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Evolución de las empresas fantasmas e inexistentes y el perjuicio causado al Estado ecuatoriano, 2017–2023
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Impacto de la oferta educativa superior en la búsqueda de talento humano por parte de las empresas
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Políticas estatales: una mirada hacia la inserción laboral y empleabilidad de bachilleres rurales
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Debates actuales y perspectivas sobre las políticas sociales en América Latina: entrevista con Rolando Franco
Books
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Jaque mate a la democracia: diez tácticas para destruir una nación con el voto de las mayorías
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La trampa del voto popular: cómo las mayorías pueden amenazar la democracia y el bienestar
Conference paper
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Poverty, Wellbeing and Health in the Developing World: The Impact of Public Health and Wellbeing Policies in Ecuador during an Oil Boom
In the classroom
I am a research professor in the Economics Program at Universidad Técnica de Cotopaxi, where I teach Econometrics, Research Methodology, Macroeconomics and Statistics.
- Undergraduate
- Universidad Estatal de Milagro, Universidad Nacional de Chimborazo, Universidad Técnica de Ambato, Universidad Tecnológica Equinoccial and Universidad de Especialidades Turísticas (online).
- Graduate
- Public Policy (UNEMI), Environmental Economic Valuation (UNACH) and Intersectoral Relations in Local Development (Universidad Estatal de Bolívar).
- FLACSO
- Master's and doctoral fellow: teaching assistantships, review of theses and projects, and directed-readings courses.
Courses taught: econometrics, economic modelling, research methodology, macroeconomics, statistics, development economics and public policy.
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Econolab
Python and econometrics for faculty and students writing a thesis, with challenges on real ENEMDU data in Google Colab.
Tools I build
When an academic process repeats itself every semester, I would rather turn it into software.
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ARCDATA
Economics, data and digital products.
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Manuscrito
Imports a paper, breaks it into parts and walks you through writing your own.
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Campus
Academic and administrative management for the Faculty of Administrative and Economic Sciences.
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Degree programme design and redesign
Dashboards and curriculum documentation for accreditation and quality assurance.
Let's talk
If you are looking for a coauthor, data consulting or a course in applied econometrics, write to me.